Rational Feed

Rationalist:

Success And Fail Rates Of Monthly Policies by lionhearted (LW 2.0) – Te author tries a new self improvement theme every month.

Dragon Debris by Robin Hanson – Maybe interstellar travel is really hard. The solar system was recent visited by an object from a another star system. The object is extremely unusual.

Worried About Ai by Jacob Falkovich – AI is comparably dangerous to climate change but Ai-alignment has almost no funding. The most intelligent and well informed people are more likely to be very concerned.

Politics and Economics:

Simple Theory Gene Culture Coevolutio by Marginal Revolution – Are there genetic vulnerabilities for depression across cultures? What is the role of emotion regulation?

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Rational Feed

Scott:

Response To Comments The Tax Bill Is Still Very Bad by Scott Alexander – Why not just halve income taxes on people making less than 100K.

Tax Bill 3 Dont Mess With Taxes by Scott Alexander – I was wrong to say there was “no case” for the tax bill. Giving money back to shareholders may stimulate the economy in other ways. Economists mostly agree the plan won’t boost growth that much. Distribution matters more than growth.

What To Make Of New Positive Nsi-189 Results by Scott Alexander – “You might be asking ‘Wait, I thought the whole point of having primary versus secondary endpoints was so people wouldn’t do that?’ Well…yes. I’m trying to figure out if there’s any angle here besides “Company does thing that you’re not supposed to do because it can always give you positive results, gets positive results, publishes a press release”. I am not an expert here. But I can’t find one.” However the stock went up 67%.

Rationalist:

Intelligence Explosion Possible by The MIRI Blog – A response to ‘The impossibility of the intelligence explosion’. The anti-explosion argument seems to imply that humans can’t exist. After all humans are substantially more generally intelligent than chimps.

Fixing Science Via A Basic Income by Kaj Sotala – The Root cause of bad science is the pressure researchers are under to publish multiple times a year.

AI:

December 2017 Newsletter by The MIRI Blog – Fundraiser, General Updates, Research Updates.

Politics and Economics:

Book Post For November Nonfiction Books by Ozy – GLBTAQ, Mental Health, Feminism

Normie Conservatism Vs Alternative Conservatism by Grey Enlightenment – Boomer ‘Aduling’ contrasted with Millennial/Alternative take on ‘adult’ behavior.

Podcast:

Spirituality Via Drugs by The Bayesian Conspiracy – “Make me one with everything.”. Topics include Animal Rights and the difficulty of conducting harmless studies.

Rational Feed

Rationalist:

Updates From Boston by evolution-is-just-a-theorem (LW 2.0) – “Successes: Bureaucracy Day, Sprint Day, Backthumb Conversation Norm, Just google It. Failures: Review Spreadsheet, Timed Worksheets, Group Habitica, Group Intervention Testing.”

EA:

Want To Talk To Someone At Givewell About Your Giving Decision by The GiveWell Blog – Givewell will now answer questions about giving via email or set up a phone conversation.

Politics and Economics:

Trumponomics: Novelty Neglect at Peril by Marginal Revolution – “There is no coordinating mastermind, but if you consider the intersection between what the Trumpian nationalists want and what a Republican Congress will deliver, it’s this: wanting to make the U.S. a new and dominant center for investment, including at the expense of other nations.”

Podcast:

Is Life Actually Worth Living by Waking Up with Sam Harris – “David Benatar about his philosophy of “anti-natalism.” They discuss the asymmetry between the good and bad things in life, the ethics of existential risk, the moral landscape, the limits and paradoxes of introspection, the “experience machine” thought experiment, population ethics, and other topics.”

Rational Feed

Scott:

Against Overgendering Harassment by Scott Alexander – About 25% of harassment victims are men. About 20% of perpetrators are women.

Rationalist:

Show Lw Diaspora Project Map And Preregistration Database by Hypothesis (LW 2.0) – A list of running and completed rationalist projects and startups. Each project has an associated description and contact information.

A Lament On Simler Et Al by Everything Studies – Neither groups nor individuals are selected for evolutionarily, genes are. Acting in your ‘genetic self interest’ is not the same thing as acting selfishly int he normal sense. People should stop using one word for both concepts.

Politics and Economics:

What If Were Right by Jacob Falkovich – “You shouldn’t be afraid to notice the symmetry of good and bad arguments, the symmetry of knowledge and incentives on both sides, and say: ‘I think as a society we are roughly in the correct spot on this issue. I shouldn’t be trying to nudge the discussion in either direction, I should probably just shut up and focus on something else.'”

Rational Feed

EA:

How To Give Money And Get Happiness More Easily by Mr. Money Mustache – “If you have more money than you need, you should start giving some of it away. That’s the lesson I learned about a year ago, when I took a gamble and donated $100,000 to a variety of charities, centered around the Effective Altruism movement.”

Politics and Economics:

Eliezer Yudkowsky Schools The Bank Of Japan by Grey Enlightenment – Funds bet against the housing market–indirectly–by shorting mortgage-backed securities and companies with mortgage exposure. Not everything that seems like a bubble is (ex Amazon). You don’t need short-selling to make a market go down. A chart of Japan’s economic growth.

Podcast:

Food Waste by EconTalk – “Laudan argues that much of the alleged wasting of food serves a purpose and reducing waste would have costs that exceed the benefits. She also discusses the role of food taboos and moralizing about food. Along the way, Laudan defends the virtue of individual choice and freedom in deciding what to eat.”

Rational Feed

Scott:

Ot90 Telescopen Thread by Scott Alexander – Standard open thread. Comments about airline economics. Solstice.

Rationalist:

Book Review: The Upside Of Your Dark Side by Kaj Sotala – Psychological states are instrumental, don’t think of them as good or bad. Split positive/negative emotions 80/20. “While I liked the book’s message and agreed with many of its points, I felt like it was mostly trying to tell a story that sounds plausible to a layman, rather than making a particularly rigorous argument. The authors tend to base their claims on isolated studies with no mention of their replication status”

Politics and Economics:

Links And Thanks by sam[]zdat – Sam’s 12 favorite articles of the year, each has a short review. Other recommended articles. A note on the state of the blog.

Optimism Or Stagnation A Case For Both by Grey Enlightenment – “Both sides are correct. Tyler is right about complacency (although there has always been a complacent class), and James is right about how such complacency either is not a big deal and or that America is still innovative. I agree with James’ optimism but also agree with Tyler in regard to how there is complacency and possible stagnation in some areas, but the empirical evidence supports such optimism (but as caveat, I’m optimistic about Americans in the top 10% of wealth and IQ, and also optimistic about America remaining an economic, technological, and militaristic superpower, but for everyone else, things are not as good, as I will explain later).”

Misc:

Childcare Update by Jeff Kaufman – Details on Jeff’s childcare arrangements for the first 8 months of his daughter’s life.

Rational Feed

Rationalist:

Explicit Content by Ben Hoffman – The Sound of Silence

More Dakka by Zvi Moshowitz – Gratitude works but even people who know this underutilize gratitude. “We know the solution. Our bullets work. We just need more. We need More (and better) (metaphorical) Dakka. And then we decide we’re out of bullets. We stop. If it helps but doesn’t solve your problem, perhaps you’re not using enough.”