Rational Feed

Scott:

Highlights From The Comments On Technological Unemployment by Scott Alexander – Scott quotes a large number of comments on his writeup of technological unemployment. He doesn’t respond to the majority of the comments.

Rationalist:

Explanation Vs Rationalization by abramdemski (LW 2.0) – Motivated reasoning and argument is agreed to be very problematic, even if its results are not worthless evidence. Is tailoring your argument to the audience therefore also dishonest? Answer: Not if you focus on giving a ‘gears level’ explanation.

The Real World Omega by Valentine (LW 2.0) – “I suspect that improv works because we’re doing something a lot like it pretty much all the time. The web of social relationships we’re embedded in helps define our roles as it forms and includes us. And that same web, as the distributed “director” of the “scene”, guides us in what we do.”

Politics and Economics:

Foreign Language in High School by Marginal Revolution – Bryan Caplan argues that both the average student barely learns much in foreign language classes and that foreign languages are not very useful. Cowen gives eight objections/responses. In particular he argues that foreign languages are very useful for the elites and that Europe shows that effective foreign language training is possible inside a public system.

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Rational Feed

Scott:

Current Affairs Some Puzzles For Libertarians Treated As Writing Prompts For Short Stories by Scott Alexander – Four short stories prompted by weakman objections to libertarianism.

AI:

Robustness To Scale by Scott Garrabrant (LW 2.0) – “I want to quickly draw attention to a concept in AI alignment: Robustness to Scale. Briefly, you want your proposal for an AI to be robust (or at least fail gracefully) to changes in its level of capabilities. I discuss three different types of robustness to scale: robustness to scaling up, robustness to scaling down, and robustness to relative scale.”

Misc:

Jobs by Ben Kuhn – What to look for in a job: Growth, Alignment, Impact, Mentorship, Responsibility, Work environment.

Rational Feed

Rationalist:

On Value Drift by Robin Hanson – ” Unfortunately, the consistent historical trend has been for values to drift over time, increasing the distance between random future and current values. As this trend looks like a random walk, we see no obvious limit to how far values can drift. So if the value you place on the values of others falls rapidly enough with the distance between values, you should expect long term future values to be very wrong.”

AI:

Preparing For Malicious Uses Of Ai by Open Ai – “We’ve co-authored a paper that forecasts how malicious actors could misuse AI technology, and potential ways we can prevent and mitigate these threats.”

Politics and Economics:

Neutral Definitions by Bryan Caplan – “Instead of rigorously distinguishing between what we’re talking about and what we’re saying about it, an argumentative definition deliberately interweaves the two. Modern discussions are riddled with argumentative definitions, but the most prominent instance, lately, is feminism.”

Rational Feed

Scott:

Technological Unemployment: Much More Than You Wanted To Know by Scott Alexander – “Part I will investigate whether unemployment is getting worse. Part II will investigate whether that is because of technology. Part III will investigate what longer-term trends we should expect. As usual, this is very long.”

Rationalist:

Predictions by Bayesian Investor – Bayesian Investor discusses some of Scott’s five year predictions and posts his own answers to the questions.

Politics and Economics:

Viewpoint Diversity by John Lincoln – Tech workers were polled about five metrics of ideological hostility in the tech sector. Respondents were split into five categories based on how liberal/conservative they were. As expected conservatives reported a vastly more oppressive climate. Some basic demographic data was also included.

Rational Feed

Rationalist:

An Alternative Way To Browse Lesswrong 2 0 by clone of saturn (LW 2.0) – Extremely fast alternative frontend for LW 2.0. If the normal site feels too lose this is a great option. Notably this site doesn’t doesn’t waste most of the frontpage on the sequences/SSC-archive/HPMOR. Other advantages include loading all the comments and some useful keyboard commands.

Podcast:

Rs 202 Bryan Caplan On The Case Against Education by Rationally Speaking – “Bryan Caplan argues that the main reason getting a college degree is valuable is because of signaling (i.e., it proves that you have traits that employers value, like conscientiousness and conformity), and not because college teaches you useful knowledge or skills. Julia proposes several potential challenges to Bryan’s argument, and they discuss why it matters how much of education’s value is signaling.”

Designing Distraction by The Ezra Klein Show – “In 2011, Tristan Harris’s company, Apture, was acquired by Google. Inside Google, he became unnerved by how the company worked. There was all this energy going into making the products better, more addicting, more delightful. But what if all that made the users’ lives worse, more busy, more distracted?”

Networks, Power And Chaos by Waking Up with Sam Harris – “Sam Harris speaks with Niall Ferguson about his new book “The Square and the Tower.” They discuss his career as a writer, networks and hierarchies, how history gets written, the similarity between the 16th century and the 21st, the role of social media in the 2016 Presidential election, the influence of advertising on the public sphere, Trump, the Russian investigation, Islamic extremism, counterfactuals, what would have happened if Clinton had won the presidency, immigration in Europe, conspiracy theories, capitalism, globalization, communism, wealth inequality, universal basic income, Henry Kissinger, the prospect of a US war with China, cyberwar, and other topics.”

Jordan Peterson by EconTalk – 12 Rules for Life: Topics covered include parenting, conversation, the role of literature in everyday life, and the relationship between sacrificial rites and trade.

Rational Feed

EA:

Is Skilled Hunting Unethical by elephantiskon (LW 2.0) – The author changes his mind about hunting. “I expect that they will nonetheless find the issues discussed in this article—wild animal welfare, movement-building, habit formation, moral uncertainty, how to set epistemic priors— both interesting and relevant to their day-to-day-lives. I also hope this article provides a useful example of how to examine an object-level belief and actually change your mind.”

Politics and Economics:

Galileo’s Middle Finger by Jacob Falkovich – Lessons about politics, activism, sex, evolution and most of all defense against the dark arts: “This is a review of Alice Dreger’s Galileo’s Middle Finger, a memoir about science and activism: when they get along and when they don’t. The review separated into three parts: a quick review of the book as a reading experience, a summary of the book’s story, and the lessons, intended and unintended, that I learned from it.”. [Discusses ‘autogynephilia’ and debates theories of trans individuals. Discuss this article with extra tact.]

In Defence Of Conflict Theory by ricraz (LW 2.0) – “Here’s my main argument against emphasising mistake theory over conflict theory: you’re only able to be a mistake theorist after the conflict theorists have done most of the hard work. Even if the lens of mistake theory is more useful in dealing with most of the political issues we engage with on a daily basis, that’s only the case because those issues are a) within our Overton window, so that they can be discussed, and b) considered important by either some powerful people, or many normal people, so that proposed solutions have a chance of being implemented.”

Liability Insurance by Paul Christiano – Owners of dangerous technology like guns should have to put up a large amount of capital with which to compensate victims. The amount of capital would be prohibitively high so most buyers would need insurance.