Status Regulation And Anxious Underconfidence by Eliezer Yudkowsky (LW 2.0) – “And I’ll now try to describe the kinds of feelings that I think modesty’s appeal rests on. Because I’ve come to appreciate increasingly that human beings are really genuinely different from one another, you shouldn’t be surprised if it seems to you like this is not how you work. I claim nonetheless that many people do work like this.”
Against Shooting Yourself In The Foot by Eliezer Yudkowsky (LW 2.0) – Coda. Eliezer meditates on whether his arguments might do harm to people who were already pre-disposed to overconfidence. Eliezer’s advice.
Hero Licensing by Eliezer Yudkowsky (LW 2.0) – A dialogue on inadequacy, exploitability and modesty. “(The year is 2010. eliezer-2010 is sitting in a nonexistent park in Redwood City, California, working on his laptop. A person walks up to him.)”
Review of Inadequate Equilibria by Scott Aaronson – “To summarize, he argues that contrarianism usually won’t work if your goal is to outcompete many other actors in a free market for a scarce resource that they all want too, like money or status or fame. In those situations, you really should ask yourself why, if your idea is so wonderful, it’s not already being implemented. On the other hand, contrarianism can make sense when the “authoritative institutions” of a given field have screwed-up incentives that prevent them from adopting sensible policies—when even many of the actual experts might know that you’re right, but something prevents them from acting on their knowledge.”
Creating Welfare Biology A Research Proposal by Ozy – It would be useful to have an academic field that studied the biology of animal suffering. How can you start an academic field? What historic case should we look it.