In Favor Of Futurism Being About The Future by Scott Alexander – Scott criticizes an article about futurism. Scott basically claims the author decides which set of futurists are right based entirely on group demographics instead of actual arguments about futurism.
Ssc Journal Club Serotonin Receptors by Scott Alexander – “Pop science likes to dub dopamine “the reward chemical” and serotonin “the happiness chemical”. God only knows what norepinephrine is, but I’m sure it’s cutesy.”
All Else Being Equal by Tom Bartleby – “Our culture has moved, without anyone really talking about it, from a culture in which “all else is never equal” to one in which “all else is always equal”—and it’s really harmed our equality.”
Its not the Critic who Counts by Scott Aaronson – Scott Alexander and the mathematician Timothy Gowers seem to genuinely love their subjects. Whenever you read their work, even their controversial posts, you learn new things. Some of their critics seem consumed by politics.
Terms by Ben Kuhn – Stock options that seem valuable can become worthless even if the company issuing them did very well. How can this be? Detailed analysis of Square’s IPO. Valuations are essentially completely made up. The valuation that matters to you depends on the kind of stock you have; you can explicitly compute the implied values of different kinds of stock. “Huge sample of more than 200 companies valued at $1 billion or more. For each one, they figured out the terms their investors got, and used this to compute how overvalued each one would be if you used the headline valuation as the company valuation.”
Gnostic Rationality by gordon (LW 2.0) – Doxa, episteme and gnosis. “This would be a purely academic distinction if it weren’t for the fact that I see many of my rationalist friends suffering and finding consistently that those who suffer the most tend to be those with the least gnosis of rationality.”
Distinctions In Types Of Thought by Sarah Constantin – Effortless vs effortful thinking. Effortless thinking is the sort of thinking involved in familiar motor skills. Effortful thinking is exemplified by deliberate logic. Neural nets mostly represent effortless thinking.
Meta Learning For Wrestling by Open Ai – “We show that for the task of simulated robot wrestling, a meta-learning agent can learn to quickly defeat a stronger non-meta-learning agent, and also show that the meta-learning agent can adapt to physical malfunction.”
Politics and Economics:
Defending Thaler From Guerrilla by Noah Smith – Defenses of Richard Thaler and behavioral economics: The invisible hand-wave. Ethical concerns. The invisible hand-wave, again. Endowment effects and money pumps. External validity of lab effects.
Individual Ideological Philosophical Classification System by Grey Enlightenment – Five Categories most people fall into. Mainstream left/right, Far left/right, Rationalist Left, Rationalist Centrist, Rationalist Right. Descriptions and examples of each group.
Facing The Crowd by Waking Up with Sam Harris – “Nicholas Christakis about mob behavior, moral panics, and current threats to free speech.”
Nick Beckstead: Giving Billions by 80,000 Hours – The far future vs current people. What jobs to take. Lab grown meat. Eliminate mosquitos or distribute nets. Greatest risks. Better Decision making: specific vs general. Is it better if the economy grows quickly or slowly. Nick’s top book recommendations.How he developed exceptional judgement, made tough career decision. Less dilettantism and more expertise in EA.
Cryptocurrencies by The Bayesian Conspiracy – The basics of cryptocurrencies and what they have to do with EA.