Gleanings From Double Crux On The Craft Is Not The Community by Sarah Constantin – Results from Sarah’s public double crux. Sarah initially did not think the rationalist intellectual project was worth preserving. She wants to see results, even though she concedes that formal results can be very difficult to get. What is the value of introspection and ‘navel grazing’?
Critiquing Other Peoples Plans Politely by Katja Grace – Three failure modes: The attack, The polite sidestep, The inadvertent personal question. A plan to avoid these issues: debate beliefs, not actions.
Forager Vs Farmer Elaborated by Robin Hanson – Early humans collapsed Machiavellian dynamics down to a reverse-dominance-hierarchy. Group norm enforcement and its failure modes. Safety leads to collective play and art, threat leads to a return to Machiavellianisn and suspicion. Individuals greatly differ as to what level of threat causes the switch, often for self-serving reasons. Left vs right. “The first and primary political question is how much to try to resolve issues via a big talky collective, or to let smaller groups decide for themselves.”
The Doomsday Argument In Anthropic Decision Theory by Stuart Armstrong (lesswrong) – “In Anthropic Decision Theory (ADT), behaviors that resemble the Self Sampling Assumption (SSA) derive from average utilitarian preferences. However, SSA implies the doomsday argument. This post shows there is a natural doomsday-like behavior for average utilitarian agents within ADT.”