A Post Em Era Hint by Robin Hanson – In past ages there were pairs of innovations that enabled the et age without changing the growth rate. Forager: Reasoning and language. Farmer: Writing and math. Industrial: Computers and Digital Communication. What will the em-age equivalents be?
Ideas On A Spectrum by Elo (BearLamp) – Putting ideas like ‘selfishness’ on a spectrum. Putting yourself and others on the spectrum. People who give you advice might disagree with you about where you fall on the spectrum. Where do you actually stand?
Why Don’t Ai Researchers Panic by Bayesian Investor – AI researchers predict a 5% chance of “extremely bad” (extinction level) events, why aren’t they panicking? Answers: They are thinking of less bad worst cases, optimism about counter-measures, risks will be easy to deal with later, three “star theories” (MIRI, Paul Christiano, GOFAI). More answers: Fatal pessimism and resignation. It would be weird to openly worry. Benefits of AI-safety measures are less than the costs. Risks are distant.
Allocating the Capital by GiveDirectly – Eight media links on Give Directly, Basic Income and Cash Transfers.
Politics and Economics:
Why Do You Hate Elua by H i v e w i r e d – Scott’s Elua as an Eldritch Abomination that threatens traditional culture. An extended sci-fi quote about Ra the great computer. “The forces of traditional values remembered an important fact: once you have access to the hardware, it’s over.”
What Replaces Rights And Discourse by Feddie deBoer – Lots of current leftist discourse is dismissive of rights and open discussion. But what alternative is there? The Soviets had bad justifications and a terrible system but at least it had an explicit philosophical alternative.