Onemagisterium Bayes by tristanm (lesswrong) – Toolbox-ism is the dominant mode of thinking today. Downsides of toolbox-ism. Desiderata that imply Bayesianism. Major problems: Assigning priors and encountering new hypothesis. Four minor problems. Why the author is still a strong Bayesianism. Strong Bayesians can still use frequentist tools. AI Risk.
Cfar Week 1 by mindlevelup – What is working at CFAF actually like. Less rationality research than anticipated. Communication costs scale quadratically. Organization efficiency and group rationality.
Call To Action by Elo (BearLamp) – Culmination of a 21 article series on life improvement and getting things done. A review of the series as a whole and thoughts on moving forward.
Book Review Barriers by Eukaryote – Even cell culturing is surprisingly hard if you don’t know the details. There is not much institutional knowledge left in the field of bioweapons. Forcing labs underground makes bioterrorism even harder. However synthetic biology might make things much more dangerous.