SSC Journal Club Ai Timelines by Scott Alexander – A new paper surveying what Ai experts think about Ai progress. Contradictory results about when Ai will surpass humans at all tasks. Opinions on Ai risk, experts are taking the arguments seriously.
Summer Programming by Jacob Falkovich (Put A Number On It!) – Jacob’s Summer writing plan. Re-writing part of the lesswrong sequences. Ribbonfarm’s longform blogging course on refactored perception.
How Men And Women Perceive Relationships Differently by AellaGirl – Survey Results about Relationship quality over time. Lots of graphs and a link to the raw data. “In summary, time is not kind. Relationships show an almost universal decrease in everything good the longer they go on. Poly is hard, and you have to go all the way to make it work – especially for men. Religion is also great, if you’re a man. Women get more excited and insecure, men feel undesirable.”
Dichotomies by mindlevelup – 6 short essays about dichotomies and whats useful about noticing them. Fast vs Slow thinking. Focused vs Diffuse Mode. Clean vs Dirty Thinking. Inside vs Outside View. Object vs Meta level. Generative vs Iterative Mode. Some conclusions about the method.
Announcing Effective Altruism Grants by Maxdalton (EA forum) – CEA is goving out £100,000 grants for personal projects. “We believe that providing those people with the resources that they need to realize their potential could be a highly effective use of resources.” A list of what projects could get funded, the list is very broad. Evaluation criteria.
Review Of Ea New Zealands Doing Good Better Book by cafelow (EA forum) – New Zealand EAs gave out 250 copies of “Doing Good Better”. 80 of the recipients responded to a follow up survey. The results were extremely encouraging. Survey details and discussion. Possible flaws with the giveaway and survey.