Relinquishment Cultivation by Agenty Duck – Agenty Duck designs meditation to cultivate the attitude of “If X is true I wish to believe X, if X is not true I wish to believe not X”. The technique is inspired by ‘loving-kindness’ meditation.
Do Ai Experts Exist by Bayesian Investor – Some of the numbers from ” When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Evidence from AI Experts” don’t make sense.
Politics and Economics:
Population By Country And Region 10K BCE to 2016 CE by Luke Muehlhauser – 204 countries, 27 region. Links to the database used and a forthcoming explanatory paper. From 10K BCE to 0 CE gaps are 1000 years. From 0 CE to 1700 CE gaps are 100 years. After that they are 10 years long.
How Givewell Uses Cost Effectiveness Analyses by The GiveWell Blog – GiveWell doesn’t take its estimates literally, unless one charity is measured as 2-3x as cost-effective GiveWell is unsure if a difference exists. Cost-effective is however the most important factor in GiveWell’s recommendations. GiveWell goes into detail about how it deals with great uncertainty and suboptimal data.
Adding New Funds To Ea Funds by the Center for Effective Altruism (EA forum) – The Center for Effective Altruism wants feedback on whether it should add more EA funds. Each question is followed by a detailed list of critical considerations.